Bitcoin Risks Losing $108,000 In A Month-End Sell-Off


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Key points:

  • Bitcoin sees a fresh round of selling at the Wall Street open, taking the price toward $108,000.

  • Multiweek lows come thanks to whales offloading large tranches of BTC.

  • US inflation data fails to offer any respite to bulls despite high odds of an interest-rate cut.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit new multiweek lows after Friday’s Wall Street open as consensus favored a drop toward $100,000.

Bitcoin Price, Markets, Market Analysis
BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin bulls pin hopes on RSI divergence

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed daily losses of nearly 4% BTC/USD, which reached its lowest levels since July 8. 

Whale selling pressure had been to blame earlier on the day, with distribution on the largest global exchange, Binance, compounding the downside.

CoinGlass Data put 24-hour crypto liquidations at nearly $540 million at the time of writing.

Crypto liquidations (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Market observers identified price in a key reversal zone.

“Good area to keep watching. Right on top of the previous range & consolidation area,” popular trader Daan Crypto Trades noted in a post on X.

BTC/USDT perpetual contract one-day chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Fellow trader Crypto Caesar had similar levels on the radar, with Bitcoin failing to reclaim $112,000 as support.

Earlier, Cointelegraph reported that $114,000 is essential for the bulls as a weekly close threshold.

With little optimism, only low-timeframe relative strength index (RSI) cues offered light at the end of the tunnel.

As noted by popular crypto commentator Javon Marks, the four-hour chart continued to preserve a bullish RSI divergence. This involves RSI making higher lows while price makes lower lows, and can form an early indication of an upside reversal.

“$BTC (Bitcoin), still coming off of a confirmed Bullish Divergence can still have a huge reversal back up to $123,000 in the works,” Marks argued.

“This means that despite the current action, we could see a nearly +15% move back near the All Time Highs…”
Bitcoin Price, Markets, Market Analysis
BTC/USD four-hour chart with RSI data. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView


Fed watchers nervous again after PCE numbers

Both seasonality and macroeconomic factors continued to play a role in weakening price action.

Related: BTC bull run over at $111K? 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

September is traditionally Bitcoin’s weakest month, with markets also wary of US inflation markers. 

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

The Federal Reserve’s “preferred” inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, hit expectations on the day while adding to an inflation rebound.

Despite this, data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool confirms, markets still saw the Fed cutting interest rates in September — a key tailwind for crypto and risk assets.

Fed target rate probabilities for September FOMC meeting. Source: CME Group

Reacting, trading firm Mosaic Asset warned that the landscape could still change based on data into the Sept. 17 decision.

“Outlook for rate cuts could be in jeopardy if next week’s payrolls are stronger than expected,” it told X followers.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.