The crypto market is entering a decisive moment with three major developments converging: a big announcement from President Trump, the release of U.S. unemployment data, and a technical golden cross on the alts-to-BTC chart. Each factor alone can move markets, but combined, they may set the tone for the rest of 2025.

Trump’s Announcement: Market Sentiment on the Line

President Trump is scheduled to make a major announcement at 4 PM EST today. His statements often have ripple effects across traditional and crypto markets. If the announcement carries a pro-growth or even pro-crypto tone, it could add bullish momentum. On the other hand, if it sparks concerns about tariffs, regulation, or geopolitical friction, it could inject volatility into already fragile markets.

U.S. Unemployment Data: The Fed’s Next Move

In less than two hours, the U.S. unemployment numbers will be released—a critical indicator for Federal Reserve policy.

Higher unemployment may push the Fed toward rate cuts, increasing liquidity and potentially boosting Bitcoin and altcoins.

Lower unemployment could reinforce hawkish policy, keeping liquidity tight and weighing on risk assets.

For crypto traders, today’s jobs data is just as important as any speech—it directly influences the capital flow into digital assets.

The Alts/BTC Golden Cross: Technical Fuel for Altseason

Earlier today, the alts-to-BTC chart printed a golden cross, where the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term average. In 2017, this same technical setup preceded a 10x altcoin rally. While history never repeats exactly, the signal is a clear sign that altcoins are technically primed for a breakout—if macro conditions align.

How These Factors Connect

Trump + Jobs Data (Macro): They determine the liquidity backdrop. Positive surprises here could unleash fresh risk appetite.

Golden Cross (Technical): This shows that alts are ready to outperform once liquidity flows in.
Together, the macro news provides the fuel, while the golden cross is the spark.

Outlook: Is Q4 Altseason Finally Here?

The coming hours may set the stage for the next big crypto trend:

Bullish Scenario: Weak jobs data → Fed pivot expectations → Trump’s announcement adds momentum → Bitcoin rallies → Altseason explodes.

Bearish Scenario: Strong jobs data → Fed stays hawkish → Trump triggers uncertainty → Bitcoin corrects → Altseason stalls despite golden cross.

Q4 2025 could either be remembered as the kickoff of a historic altcoin season—or another false start. Traders should keep their eyes on both the charts and the headlines today.

$BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $XRP, $DOGE